Who Will Be In The Pac-12 Championship?

Unfortunately, someone has to represent the Pac-12 South Division in the inaugural Pac-12 Championship game. USC (8-2) is banned, so that means that one of three incredibly mediocre teams will be in the game: 5-5 UCLA, 6-4 Arizona State, or 6-4 Utah. If the game were tomorrow, 5-5 UCLA - who hasn't even qualified for a bowl game yet! - would get a one-game playoff for the Rose Bowl.

But who will it be? Here are the remainder of their schedules:

UCLA: vs. Colorado (2-9), @ USC (8-2)
Arizona State: vs. Arizona (2-8), vs. California (6-4)
Utah: @ Washington State (4-6), vs. Colorado (2-9)*

*Colorado plays 13 games this year because they had a road game at Hawaii.

Utah beat UCLA. UCLA beat Arizona State. Arizona State beat Utah.

UCLA needs:
1) To win out OR
2) To win once AND have Utah lose once AND have Arizona State lose once OR
3) To lose twice AND have Arizona State lose once AND have Utah lose twice

Arizona State needs:
1) To win out AND have UCLA lose once OR
2) To win once AND have UCLA lose twice

Utah needs:
1) To win out AND have UCLA lose once AND Arizona State lose twice.

If Utah wins twice and Arizona State and UCLA both win once, then there's a three way tie. The next tie breaker would be games played within the division, which Arizona State would win.

UCLA: 2-3
Arizona State: 4-1 or 3-2
Utah: 3-2


Hopefully either Utah or Arizona State will win out and be a respectable 8-4. But the odds are that a 6-6 UCLA will be in that championship game.